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LinkedIn's Last Year as the Résumé Monopoly

A federal judge let LinkedIn's monopolization case proceed, Microsoft still reports double-digit LinkedIn revenue growth, and on-chain credential systems already exist to replace the résumé LinkedIn has owned for two decades.

Undated · evergreen5 min read · 1,200 words · 10 sources
Two people shaking hands across an office desk
Two people shaking hands across an office desk. Photo · Pexels
Two decades passed before a real rival challenged LinkedIn, and a federal judge just ruled that gap counts as evidence of a monopoly.

LinkedIn survived a motion to dismiss in March 2024 and has been losing ground in court ever since. Judge Haywood Gilliam Jr. of the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California let a monopolization case, Todd Crowder et al. v. LinkedIn Corporation, proceed past the pleading stage, finding the complaint adequately alleged that LinkedIn uses exclusivity-bound data-access agreements to keep rivals out of professional networking entirely 12. The case kept advancing through 2026: a judge ordered depositions of co-founder Reid Hoffman and LinkedIn's chief executive, then rejected a proposed settlement over collusion concerns, leaving the monopoly claim unresolved as this piece publishes 34. Microsoft, meanwhile, reported LinkedIn revenue up 12 percent for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, proof the platform still prints money even as its legal footing cracks 5. My claim: 2027 is the year verified, portable work history breaks LinkedIn's hold on professional identity, and the break starts in AI and web3, the two industries least loyal to incumbent platforms.

A Monopoly Case That Refuses to Die

Gilliam's March 2024 order kept two theories alive. Plaintiffs allege actual monopolization, built on the claim that LinkedIn's accumulated user data and machine-learning models function as a barrier competitors rarely cross. They also allege attempted monopolization through the data-access agreements: partners who want LinkedIn's API get it only if they agree, contractually, to skip building a competing product 1. That arrangement, the complaint argues, removes any competitive check on Premium subscription pricing, which ranges from $14.99 to $99.95 a month 1. Two years of litigation produced escalation ahead of resolution. Depositions of Hoffman and the company's chief executive got approved. A settlement got proposed, then rejected by the same court over concerns the deal looked more like collusion than compromise 34. Settling quietly proved impossible, and that difficulty is itself the signal: this monopoly case carries real teeth. Compare that trajectory with the typical antitrust complaint, which either collapses at the pleading stage or settles for a modest fine years before trial; this one cleared its first hurdle in 2024 and kept escalating steadily through the executives it named.

Microsoft Keeps Milking a Legacy Moat

Satya Nadella used LinkedIn's most recent earnings disclosure to talk about agentic AI ahead of antitrust exposure, and the numbers gave him cover to do it 5. Revenue rose 12 percent for the quarter ended June 30, 2026, 10 percent in constant currency, a healthy clip for a two-decade-old product facing a live monopolization suit 5. Microsoft discloses that growth rate and stops there, skipping an absolute revenue figure, a member count, and a segment profit margin in the release itself. Opacity of that kind reads as a choice inside a filing this closely watched. Confidence in a trajectory publishes numbers. Narrative management publishes percentages instead.

hiQ Already Proved the Data Wants Out

LinkedIn fought a company called hiQ Labs for the better part of a decade, and lost the fight that mattered most. The Ninth Circuit ruled in 2019, then reaffirmed on remand in 2022, that scraping publicly available LinkedIn profile data skips violating the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act entirely 67. Narrowly read, the ruling settled a technical question about a specific federal statute. Broadly read, it established that professional data a person chose to publish stays available for a rival to aggregate, index, and build upon. hiQ still lost, eventually, on separate contract and terms-of-service grounds unrelated to the CFAA question, and the company shut down regardless of its landmark win 7. That history carries a legal lesson any founder building a LinkedIn alternative in 2027 needs to internalize: scraping survives a CFAA challenge, but a corporate account, a breach-of-contract claim, or a trademark dispute can still end a company the statute technically protects.

The Infrastructure for a Replacement Already Exists

Builders in AI and web3 already assemble professional identity from pieces LinkedIn leaves untouched. The Ethereum Attestation Service lets any wallet issue a signed, timestamped claim about another wallet's work, a mechanism developers now use to attest that a contributor shipped a specific commit or closed a specific deal 8. Farcaster's on-chain verification ties a social identity to a wallet address cryptographically, skipping the trust-me model every résumé still runs on 9. GitHub already functions as a de facto résumé for engineers, its contribution graph a harder-to-fake signal than any self-reported job title. One trend piece tracking the category described it plainly: crypto-based job-token credentials, verifiable blockchain alternatives to a résumé, arriving inside 2026 hiring cycles, ahead of some distant future 10. Few of these tools have assembled themselves into a consumer product with LinkedIn's polish yet, and polish, more than protocol design, remains the actual gap standing between this infrastructure and mainstream adoption.

My Proposal: A Résumé Built From Receipts

Here is my pitch for what replaces LinkedIn, offered as analysis ahead of a product announcement. Tie a professional identity to the projects a builder actually shipped and the tokens or equity they actually earned, attested on-chain by the counterparties who paid them, timestamped the moment the work closed. Tenure stops being a self-reported date range and becomes a chain of signed attestations any employer can verify in seconds, skipping the trust LinkedIn currently sells as a subscription tier. AI and web3 adopt this first because both industries already pay people in verifiable, on-chain instruments; the résumé only needs to catch up to the payment rail that already exists. Borrow hiQ's win and skip its loss: build the aggregation layer on public, wallet-signed attestations, ahead of scraped profile pages, and the CFAA question stays moot. Every founder who tries this owes hiQ's collapse a close read, because the technology working perfectly still left the company exposed the day the terms-of-service claims arrived.

By the numbers

  • Judge Haywood Gilliam Jr. denied LinkedIn's motion to dismiss a monopolization case in March 2024, a ruling that still governs the litigation today 12.
  • $14.99 to $99.95 a month is the Premium subscription pricing range the complaint says a competitive check would otherwise discipline 1.
  • Depositions of co-founder Reid Hoffman and LinkedIn's chief executive won court approval as the case advanced through 2026 3.
  • A proposed settlement in the case got rejected over collusion concerns, leaving the monopoly claim unresolved 4.
  • Twelve percent revenue growth, 10 percent in constant currency, is what Microsoft disclosed for LinkedIn in the quarter ended June 30, 2026 5.
  • Two rulings, 2019 and 2022, from the Ninth Circuit found that scraping public LinkedIn data skips violating the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act 67.

What to watch

This case reaches its next major milestone whenever the court rules on class certification, the moment plaintiffs' theory either scales to every Premium subscriber or narrows to a smaller group. Watch which AI-native company launches the first polished consumer product built on wallet-signed work attestations; the technology is ready, and the interface is the only thing missing. Microsoft's next earnings call deserves a direct question about LinkedIn's absolute revenue figure, ahead of its growth percentage alone. GitHub, Farcaster, and the Ethereum Attestation Service ecosystem all sit one integration away from becoming a résumé a recruiter actually trusts, and AI Lately will name the company that closes that gap the day it happens.

Sources

  1. Courthouse News Service, "LinkedIn can't dodge monopoly class action over premium subscription," Courthouse News Service, March 21, 2024, https://www.courthousenews.com/linkedin-cant-dodge-monopoly-class-action-over-premium-subscription/
  2. Bloomberg Law, "LinkedIn Fails to Toss Antitrust Suit Over Networking Monopoly," Bloomberg Law, March 22, 2024, https://news.bloomberglaw.com/antitrust/linkedin-to-confront-antitrust-lawsuit-over-networking-monopoly-1
  3. Bloomberg Law, "LinkedIn Co-Founder Hoffman, CEO to Be Deposed in Lawsuit," Bloomberg Law, 2026, https://news.bloomberglaw.com/antitrust/linkedin-co-founder-hoffman-ceo-to-be-deposed-in-antitrust-case
  4. Bloomberg Law, "LinkedIn, Plaintiffs Denied Settlement in Monopolization Lawsuit," Bloomberg Law, 2026, https://news.bloomberglaw.com/antitrust/linkedin-plaintiffs-denied-settlement-in-monopolization-lawsuit
  5. Microsoft, "Microsoft Cloud and AI strength fuels fourth quarter results," Microsoft Source, July 29, 2026, https://news.microsoft.com/source/2026/07/29/microsoft-cloud-and-ai-strength-fuels-fourth-quarter-results-4/
  6. Wikipedia contributors, "hiQ Labs v. LinkedIn," Wikipedia, accessed Sept. 4, 2026, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HiQ_Labs_v._LinkedIn
  7. Fenwick & West, "HiQ Labs Scrapes by Again: The Ninth Circuit Reaffirms that Data-Scraping Does Not Violate the CFAA," Fenwick, 2022, https://www.fenwick.com/insights/publications/hiq-labs-scrapes-by-again-the-ninth-circuit-reaffirms-that-data-scraping-does-not-violate-the-cfaa-1
  8. GitHub, "ethereum-attestation-service," GitHub, accessed Sept. 4, 2026, https://github.com/topics/ethereum-attestation-service
  9. GitHub, "Farcaster On-Chain Verification," GitHub, accessed Sept. 4, 2026, https://github.com/Farcaster-On-Chain-Verification/farcaster-on-chain-verification
  10. Best Job Search Apps, "Crypto-Based Job Token Credentials: Verifiable Blockchain Alternatives to Resumes in 2026 Hiring," Best Job Search Apps, 2026, https://bestjobsearchapps.com/articles/en/cryptobased-job-token-credentials-verifiable-blockchain-alternatives-to-resumes-in-2026-hiring

Cite this piece

Ryan Elliott Dennis, "LinkedIn's Last Year as the Résumé Monopoly," AI Lately, undated, https://ailately.com/analysis/linkedins-last-year

Tags: antitrust · verified credentials · on-chain identity · professional networking

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