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The Year of the Acqui-Hire

OpenAI, Google, Meta, Nvidia and Cognition spent a combined tens of billions in 2025 and 2026 buying companies mainly to secure the specific people running them, a pattern regulators are only beginning to name.

Edited by Ryan Elliott Dennis6 min read · 1,324 words · 8 sources
Stacks of silver and gold coins
Stacks of silver and gold coins. Photo · Pexels
Nvidia paid twenty billion dollars for a rival's technology and its chief executive, then let the rival keep its own name on the door.

Five deals across fourteen months redrew the boundary between a merger and a hiring spree, and the boundary kept losing. OpenAI paid $6.5 billion for a hardware startup with 55 employees and a trademark it later abandoned 1. Google paid $2.4 billion for a license and two executives, leaving the rest of the company to a third buyer 2. Nvidia paid $20 billion for a rival's technology and let the rival keep operating under its own name, CEO included on the transaction 6. Every acquirer named here spent premium capital on a roster, distinct from a balance sheet, and antitrust lawyers have begun asking whether that distinction still holds any legal weight.

Buying a Designer Ahead of a Product

Sam Altman's clearest people-first purchase closed July 9, 2025: OpenAI paid $6.5 billion for io Products, the hardware startup Jony Ive founded with fellow Apple veterans Scott Cannon, Evans Hankey and Tang Tan 1. OpenAI's own Startup Fund had already bought a 23% stake for $1.5 billion in late 2024, meaning the July close mostly converted an existing bet into full ownership rather than opening a new relationship 1. All 55 io employees joined OpenAI; Ive and his design firm LoveFrom stayed structurally independent, retaining creative authority over a hardware line the acquisition was meant to accelerate 1. Acceleration stalled regardless: Wired reported in 2026 that OpenAI dropped the "io" branding entirely amid a trademark dispute, pushing the actual hardware launch to 2027 1. Two years and $8 billion in combined investment bought OpenAI a design team well ahead of a shipped product, a sequencing that inverts how consumer-hardware companies traditionally raise and spend capital.

Windsurf Changes Hands Three Times

Two buyers approached the same target with opposite structures, supplying 2026's cleanest case study in how an acquihire differs from an acquisition. OpenAI negotiated first, reportedly for the whole company; that deal collapsed amid complications tied to Microsoft's contractual access to OpenAI's underlying technology, according to Computerworld's account of the sequence 3. Google moved fast into the opening, paying $2.4 billion in July 2025 for a license to Windsurf's AI-coding technology plus direct hires of chief executive Varun Mohan and co-founder Douglas Chen — a structure that bought Google exactly the people and code it wanted, skipping the balance sheet, customer contracts and remaining staff a full acquisition would have carried along 2. Computerworld characterized the sequence bluntly: Google had derailed "OpenAI's biggest acquisition yet," repurposing a rival's collapsed diligence into its own signing 3.

Cognition claimed what Google left behind, signing a definitive agreement that same July to acquire the remaining Windsurf business 4. The wager paid off on a timeline few acquirers see: Cognition's own valuation reached $10 billion by September 2025, climbed to $26 billion by May 2026, and reportedly drew financing talks near $40 billion by August, per Bloomberg 4. Cognition rebranded the product Devin Desktop in June 2026, folding Windsurf's interface into its own coding-agent lineup rather than preserving the acquired brand 4. Three companies, one target, and three entirely different theories about what mattered most: Google wanted names on an offer letter; Cognition wanted the surviving business those names left behind.

Meta's Ticket Into the Room

A $14.3 billion investment for a 49% stake in Scale AI, announced June 12-13, 2025, carried a structure engineered around a single hire rather than the data-labeling company's broader operations 5. Alexandr Wang became Meta's chief AI officer the same week, and Jason Droege stepped into Scale AI's interim chief executive seat to run day-to-day operations Wang left behind 5. Scale AI's implied valuation reached $29 billion in the transaction, a number that priced the company generously while the deal's real currency changed hands elsewhere: a 49% stake, ahead of a majority position, kept the transaction below thresholds that would trigger the deepest tier of merger review, even as it delivered Meta exactly the executive it wanted atop its superintelligence effort.

Nvidia Absorbs the Rival It Once Fought

December 2025 brought Nvidia's own answer to the acquihire question, and its structure pushed the pattern furthest yet. Nvidia agreed to buy assets from Groq for $20 billion in cash, paired with a shared license to Groq's inference technology that left Groq free to license the same technology elsewhere; several senior Groq leaders, including chief executive Jonathan Ross, agreed to join Nvidia as part of the arrangement 6. Both companies described Groq as continuing to operate independently afterward, a claim consistent with Groq's own reported $650 million capital raise months later to fund its inference-cloud pivot. Industry analysts read the structure less charitably: Wikipedia's account of the coverage notes the deal drew criticism as a mechanism for avoiding the regulatory scrutiny a straightforward acquisition of Groq would have invited 6. Buying assets and hiring leadership, ahead of buying the company outright, produced Nvidia's desired outcome — Ross and his top lieutenants inside Nvidia's tent — while leaving Groq's corporate shell standing to satisfy antitrust reviewers watching market concentration among AI chipmakers.

When the Premium Fell Short

Every deal above closed. CoreWeave's attempt to buy Core Scientific shows the pattern's limit. CoreWeave agreed in July 2025 to acquire the data-center operator for $9 billion, only to watch Core Scientific's own shareholders reject the transaction in October 2025 — the second time investors rebuffed CoreWeave's advances, after an earlier $1 billion 2024 offer met the identical fate 7. Shareholder resistance, distinct from the antitrust concerns shadowing Nvidia's Groq structure, sank a deal that skipped the acquihire question entirely: Core Scientific brought infrastructure and contracts, ahead of any single executive Nvidia or Google would have prized. ServiceNow's own 2025-2026 buying spree ran the opposite direction, closing Moveworks for nearly $3 billion in March 2025 and adding Pyramid Analytics in February 2026 alongside smaller AI-data acquisitions, a steadier cadence built on product integration over marquee personnel 8.

A Regulatory Question Still Open

Federal scrutiny of AI dealmaking predates 2026's biggest transactions: the FTC and Justice Department opened inquiries into Nvidia, Microsoft and OpenAI's industry influence back in June 2024, well ahead of the io, Windsurf, Scale and Groq deals this piece tracks 6. Structures built explicitly around licensing plus hiring, over conventional change-of-control mergers, exploit review thresholds calibrated for an earlier merger-control era — one built around market share and combined revenue, ahead of a framework built to weigh where irreplaceable researchers and engineers actually sit. Regulators inherited a rulebook written for factories and customer lists; 2026's acquirers trade in something closer to reputation and research taste, assets a merger-review formula built for an earlier economy rarely knows how to price.

By the numbers

  • $6.5 billion: OpenAI's acquisition price for io Products, closed July 9, 2025 1.
  • A $2.4 billion license: Google's July 2025 payment to secure Windsurf's technology and hire CEO Varun Mohan and co-founder Douglas Chen 2.
  • Ten billion, then twenty-six billion: Cognition's valuation climb from September 2025 to May 2026 after absorbing the remaining Windsurf business 4.
  • $14.3 billion: Meta's payment for a 49% stake in Scale AI, announced June 2025, installing Alexandr Wang as chief AI officer 5.
  • Twenty billion dollars: Nvidia's December 2025 asset-and-license deal with Groq, which brought CEO Jonathan Ross into Nvidia 6.
  • $9 billion: the CoreWeave-Core Scientific deal Core Scientific shareholders rejected in October 2025 7.
  • Nearly $3 billion: ServiceNow's March 2025 acquisition of Moveworks 8.
  • June 2024: the month the FTC and Justice Department opened antitrust inquiries into Nvidia, Microsoft and OpenAI's AI-industry influence 6.

What to watch

Cognition's reported financing talks near a $40 billion valuation, if they close, will confirm whether absorbing an acquihire's leftovers can outperform the original acquihire itself. Regulatory language around licensing-plus-hiring structures deserves close tracking, since a formal FTC or DOJ theory targeting the Groq or Windsurf pattern would reshape how every subsequent AI deal gets papered. Scale AI's operating trajectory under Jason Droege offers a live test of whether a company can retain commercial momentum once the acquirer's real prize, its founder, has already walked out the door.

Sources

  1. Wikipedia contributors, "io Products," Wikipedia, accessed Sept. 4, 2026, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Io_Products.
  2. CNBC Staff, "Google hires Windsurf CEO Varun Mohan, others in $2.4 billion AI talent deal," CNBC, July 11, 2025, https://www.cnbc.com/2025/07/11/google-windsurf-ceo-varun-mohan-latest-ai-talent-deal-.html.
  3. Computerworld Staff, "Google snatches Windsurf execs in a $2.4B deal, derailing OpenAI's biggest acquisition yet," Computerworld, July 14, 2025, https://www.computerworld.com/article/4021763/google-snatches-windsurf-execs-in-a-2-4b-deal-derailing-openais-biggest-acquisition-yet.html.
  4. Wikipedia contributors, "Cognition AI," Wikipedia, accessed Sept. 4, 2026, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognition_AI.
  5. TechCrunch Staff, "Scale AI confirms 'significant' investment from Meta, says CEO Alexandr Wang is leaving," TechCrunch, June 13, 2025, https://techcrunch.com/2025/06/13/scale-ai-confirms-significant-investment-from-meta-says-ceo-alexandr-wang-is-leaving/.
  6. Wikipedia contributors, "Nvidia," Wikipedia, accessed Sept. 4, 2026, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nvidia.
  7. Wikipedia contributors, "CoreWeave," Wikipedia, accessed Sept. 4, 2026, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CoreWeave.
  8. Wikipedia contributors, "ServiceNow," Wikipedia, accessed Sept. 4, 2026, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ServiceNow.

Cite this piece

AI Lately Desk, "The Year of the Acqui-Hire," AI Lately, Jul 14, 2025, https://ailately.com/articles/ai-mergers-acquihires-io-windsurf-scale

Tags: acquihire · mergers and acquisitions · antitrust · AI deals

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